Cohven
RUEN

What will happen before GTA VI? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Consensus, Position Weight and the Gap

As of Jul 28, 2026, 11 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in What will happen before GTA VI?, with $414,111 of notional across 7 outcomes and 6,601 fills over 154 trading days. Cohven rebuilds every position from public on-chain activity on Polygon. The event resolved on undefined NaN, NaN, and the cohort booked +$NaN in verified P&L.

Updated Jul 28, 2026

Wallets in event
11 / 43
Notional committed
$414,111
Realised P&L
+$NaN
Outcomes traded
7

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot marks one day of cohort trading on that outcome. Cohven prices the dot at the volume weighted average of the fills for the day and sizes it by share volume. The dots come from real trades on the Polymarket order book. The dotted line only joins them, so treat the space between two dots as unknown. The square marks the resolution and the payout.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Jun, 2025Jul, 2025Aug, 2025Sep, 2025Oct, 2025Nov, 2025Dec, 2025Jan, 2026Feb, 2026Mar, 2026Apr, 2026May, 2026Jun, 2026Jul, 2026Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2025-11-06 44¢ 18Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2025-11-07 45¢ 80Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-04 47¢ 157Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-05 47¢ 125Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-11 47¢ 218Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-12 47¢ 124Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-13 47¢ 171Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-17 47¢ 33Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-02-18 47¢ 5Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-03-01 47¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-04 48¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-05 49¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-07 49¢ 91Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-08 49¢ 135Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-09 49¢ 276Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-10 49¢ 305Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-11 49¢ 133Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-12 49¢ 96Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-13 49¢ 236Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-14 49¢ 132Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-15 49¢ 191Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-16 49¢ 171Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-17 49¢ 65Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-18 49¢ 83Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-19 49¢ 57Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-20 49¢ 70Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-21 48¢ 48Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-22 48¢ 55Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-23 48¢ 45Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-24 48¢ 65Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-25 48¢ 28Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-26 48¢ 40Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-27 48¢ 38Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-04-28 48¢ 19Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-12 48¢ 9Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-13 48¢ 54Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-14 48¢ 73Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-15 48¢ 71Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-16 48¢ 41Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-17 48¢ 37Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-18 48¢ 50Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-19 48¢ 75Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-20 48¢ 144Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-21 48¢ 68Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-22 48¢ 66Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-23 48¢ 49Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-24 48¢ 42Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-25 48¢ 77Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-26 48¢ 57Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-27 48¢ 60Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-28 48¢ 35Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-29 48¢ 30Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-30 48¢ 25Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-05-31 48¢ 39Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-06-28 50¢ 16Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-06-29 50¢ 26Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-06-30 50¢ 39Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-01 50¢ 44Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-02 50¢ 43Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-03 50¢ 32Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-04 50¢ 21Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-05 50¢ 28Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-06 50¢ 8AGAINSTWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-05-07 89¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-05-08 89¢ 16Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-01 87¢ 4Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-02 87¢ 12Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-03 87¢ 28Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-04 87¢ 7Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-05 87¢ 2Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-06 87¢ 3Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-07 87¢ 5Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-10 87¢ 2Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-11 87¢ 6Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-12 87¢ 4Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-13 87¢ 2Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-14 87¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-22 84¢ 4Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-07-30 84¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-08-31 87¢ 2Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-17 81¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-21 80¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-22 84¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-23 81¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-27 83¢ 3Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-28 82¢ 3Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-09-29 80¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-10-03 83¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-11-06 53¢ 3Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-11-07 52¢ 218Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-11-08 52¢ 19Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-11-09 51¢ 6Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2025-12-14 51¢ 1Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-16 50¢ 2Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-17 50¢ 180Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-18 50¢ 52Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-19 50¢ 53Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-20 50¢ 49Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-21 51¢ 97Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-01-22 51¢ 42Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 2026-02-02 52¢ 1AGAINSTWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2025-11-08 46¢ 1Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2025-11-20 49¢ 2Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-06-23 49¢ 55Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-06-24 50¢ 44Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-04 50¢ 9Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-05 50¢ 20Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-06 50¢ 18Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-07 50¢ 36Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-08 50¢ 155Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-09 50¢ 20Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-10 50¢ 45Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-11 50¢ 38Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-13 50¢ 38Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-14 50¢ 24Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-15 50¢ 41Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-16 50¢ 22Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-17 50¢ 9Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-25 50¢ 17Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-26 50¢ 127Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-27 50¢ 104Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes 2026-07-28 50¢ 15AGAINST
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? YesWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? NoWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes

The table below lists every outcome, including the ones the chart leaves out.

Every outcome the cohort held

Cohven reads shares, average entry price and realised P&L straight from the chain for each tracked wallet, then adds them up across the cohort. Holders counts the wallets standing on that side.

MarketSideHoldersAverage entryNotional
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes2 / 4346¢$200,962
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No7 / 4354¢$120,230
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes3 / 4350¢$45,779
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No2 / 4362¢$37,614
Trump out as President before GTA VI?No3 / 4376¢$8,046
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No2 / 4355¢$1,314
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes2 / 4338¢$166

Markets inside this event

Each market the cohort touched, with the number of tracked wallets on it and their notional. Markets held by several wallets open on their own page.

MarketHoldersNotionalRealisedResolution
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?7 / 43$321,192+$NaN
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?5 / 43$83,393+$NaN
Trump out as President before GTA VI?3 / 43$8,046+$NaN
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?2 / 43$1,480+$NaN

Wallets in this event

Every tracked wallet that held a side here, its average entry and realised result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in this event.

WalletEntryNotionalRealised
tourists0xc6dd…4b9f48¢$181,734+$7,261Trades in this event
occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b48¢$139,178+$4,394Trades in this event
Trump20280x2e0b…807088¢$40,674−$1,329Trades in this event
qmarktea20xed10…d2e550¢$26,800+$183Trades in this event
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd490xad96…d49850¢$19,889+$177Trades in this event
Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e864¢$2,372−$188Trades in this event
Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa851¢$1,530$0Trades in this event
pantomime0xd039…253251¢$1,020+$60Trades in this event
paddaa0x60a9…5a7188¢$601−$15Trades in this event
ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c38¢$311+$89Trades in this event

What Cohven does

Cohven works as a Polymarket whale tracker. It watches a cohort of consistently tracked addresses, reads their public activity on Polygon, and rebuilds equity, entry price, position weight and verified P&L for every wallet. You see the positions, you place your own orders. Cohven never touches your funds and never holds a key, so nothing here behaves like a copy trading bot.

Why a cohort beats one whale

A single tracked wallet can win on luck. Any Polymarket whale tracker that mirrors one address hands you that wallet's variance along with its edge. Cohven waits for agreement instead. When several tracked wallets stand on the same YES or NO outcome, that agreement reaches quorum and the position counts as a consensus trade. Smart money on Polymarket looks obvious in hindsight. Quorum is how you spot it while the market still trades.

Position weight, not raw dollars

A $20,000 position means one thing inside a $700,000 wallet and something else inside a $50,000 wallet. Cohven measures every position as a share of its owner's equity, and that share is the position weight. That number lets Cohven resize any cohort trade to your account, in shares and in dollars, whatever your bankroll.

The Gap

The Gap lists the difference between your portfolio and the cohort, row by row. It shows which consensus positions you already hold, which you hold too small, and which you miss completely. Cohven prices each row against the live order book, so the number you read matches the number you would pay.

How Cohven verifies the numbers

Every figure on this page comes from public Polymarket activity. Cohven reads trades, splits, merges, redemptions and rewards for each tracked address on Polygon, then rebuilds the position from scratch instead of trusting a reported total. The UMA oracle resolves the market and the payout settles in USDC. You can check any row against the chain yourself.

Questions traders ask

+

Can you see other people's positions on Polymarket?

Yes. Polymarket settles on Polygon and every trade lands on a public ledger, so anyone can read the positions of any address. Cohven does that reading at scale for a curated cohort and turns it into entry price, implied probability, position weight and verified P&L.

+

Does copy trading on Polymarket work?

Copying one wallet inherits the variance of that wallet. A single whale can run a losing streak for months while the long run ROI still looks strong. Cohven answers a narrower question. It shows where several tracked wallets agree, and agreement carries a better base rate than any single address.

+

Is it legal to track Polymarket wallets?

Reading a public blockchain breaks no rule. Cohven publishes no private data, asks for no Polymarket credentials and requests no permission over your account.

+

How does Cohven differ from a Polymarket copy trading bot?

A copy bot needs your keys and fires orders on your behalf. Cohven stays read-only. It shows the cohort, the quorum and the Gap, then you decide what to place and at what size.

+

Does Cohven touch my funds?

No. Cohven is non-custodial. It holds no keys, no balance and no order permissions, and it never routes a trade for you.

+

What counts as a Polymarket whale?

Traders use the word for any address carrying a large notional. Cohven cares less about size and more about a verified record, so the leaderboard ranks the cohort by on-chain P&L and hit rate rather than by balance alone.

+

How do I find Polymarket wallets with a public, verifiable record?

You can read the Polymarket leaderboard and check each address on-chain by hand. Cohven skips that work. It maintains the cohort, refreshes P&L daily and ranks the best Polymarket traders by verified result.

+

How much does Cohven cost?

Every new account starts with seven days of the full cohort free, no card. After that you have 60 hours to pick a plan from $29 a month, paid in USDC.

Other events the cohort traded

Each page rebuilds the same view from public Polymarket activity.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
27 of 43 wallets. $7,596,834
US forces enter Iran by..?
23 of 43 wallets. $11,310,845
Netanyahu out by...?
22 of 43 wallets. $7,942,573
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
22 of 43 wallets. $7,007,873
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
22 of 43 wallets. $4,806,139
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
22 of 43 wallets. $2,149,894

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Explore Cohven

HomeEvery cohort eventGlossary

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.