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thoodr. Polymarket Wallet Profile: Equity, Verified P&L and Consensus Record

As of Oct 23, 2026, Polymarket wallet thoodr holds $1,494,303 of equity with +$84,028 of all-time P&L rebuilt from its on-chain history. Inside the Cohven cohort it took part in 186 events where at least two tracked wallets agreed, and 267 of its 351 resolved consensus legs closed on its side.

0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2edProfile on Polymarket ↗Address on Polygonscan ↗

Equity
$1,494,303
All-time P&L
+$84,028
Realised on consensus
+$69,025
Consensus legs on side
267 / 351
Volume traded
$10,499,239
Markets traded
963
Wallets in event
186

P&L curve

Cumulative P&L of the wallet by day, rebuilt from every trade, split, merge and redemption on Polygon.

May 1, 2026+$84,028Oct 23, 2026

Largest consensus events

Events where this wallet and at least one other tracked wallet took the same side, ranked by the notional this wallet committed. Each row opens its trades in that event.

EventLegsNotional in consensusRealisedLast fill
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?5$556,975+$14,209Sep 26, 2026Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?4$264,418+$5,003Oct 15, 2026Trades
Putin out as President of Russia by...?2$230,616+$3Oct 9, 2026Trades
Iran leadership change by...?7$201,987+$1,614Oct 20, 2026Trades
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?6$196,930+$7,864Aug 14, 2026Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?2$178,826+$3,645Aug 21, 2026Trades
NATO x Russia military clash by...?4$175,242+$4,946Oct 20, 2026Trades
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?2$142,426+$235Oct 6, 2026Trades
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?10$138,597+$2,802Oct 2, 2026Trades
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?1$134,125+$1,718Jul 19, 2026Trades
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?4$128,891+$8,514Sep 23, 2026Trades
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?4$109,414+$2,399Oct 13, 2026Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?1$106,927+$2,452Sep 29, 2026Trades
Brazil Presidential Election2$101,585+$3,036Oct 3, 2026Trades
Israel closes its airspace by...?5$101,062+$6,952Sep 1, 2026Trades
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?2$100,492+$4,037May 31, 2026Trades
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?10$97,825+$3,067Sep 29, 2026Trades
Netanyahu out by...?3$97,248+$2,497Jul 2, 2026Trades
Next Leader Out of Power Before 2027 No Orban1$96,706+$1,163Jul 20, 2026Trades
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?1$89,450+$NaNOct 14, 2026Trades

Recently resolved

The latest consensus events that resolved, with the result for this wallet.

EventLegsNotional in consensusRealisedResolved
What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)1$2,588+$4Oct 16, 2026Trades
Gemini 4.0 released by...?3$15,683+$823Oct 13, 2026Trades
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?2$3,435+$262Oct 9, 2026Trades
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá1$923+$1Oct 8, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?1$106,927+$2,452Oct 6, 2026Trades
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?4$16,073−$1,216Oct 6, 2026Trades
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?3$12,184+$19Oct 6, 2026
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?2$87,244+$1,886Oct 5, 2026Trades
Pernambuco Governor Election Winner2$11,129+$17Oct 5, 2026
Who will Trump meet with in September?2$14,325+$687Oct 4, 2026Trades
Crude Oil all time high by...?1$52,378+$1,137Oct 2, 2026Trades
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?4$24,907+$26Oct 2, 2026
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?4$23,218−$9,200Oct 1, 2026Trades
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?2$12,256+$272Oct 1, 2026Trades
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?2$3,794+$6Oct 1, 2026Trades
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?1$2,394+$28Oct 1, 2026Trades
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?1$458+$2Oct 1, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of September?1$20,381+$997Sep 30, 2026Trades
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?1$900+$100Sep 30, 2026
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?2$4,640+$25Sep 29, 2026
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?1$16,611+$248Sep 26, 2026Trades
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?2$6,601+$439Sep 25, 2026Trades
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout2$1,637+$14Sep 25, 2026
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?4$128,891+$8,514Sep 24, 2026Trades
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?2$12,659+$626Sep 24, 2026Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?1$9,039+$152Sep 23, 2026Trades
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?3$52,895−$15,329Sep 22, 2026Trades
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?1$3,680−$3,680Sep 22, 2026
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?1$426+$19Sep 22, 2026
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner1$8,357+$1,143Sep 21, 2026Trades

Questions traders ask

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Are these real Polymarket wallets?

Yes. Every address is a public Polygon address that trades on Polymarket. Cohven reads its activity from the chain and rebuilds positions, entries and P&L; nothing here is self-reported.

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How does a wallet get into the cohort?

Account owners on Cohven pick wallets by verified on-chain P&L and consistency over months. The public cohort is the union of the wallets tracked across those accounts, with the owners’ own wallets excluded.

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Why show entry against the cohort?

The gap between what one wallet paid and what the cohort paid on average tells you whether it led or followed. Leaders enter early at low prices; followers pay the market the leaders created.

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Can I track my own list of wallets?

Yes. Paid plans let you assemble a cohort of up to 30 Polymarket wallets, and consensus, entries and the Gap are recomputed for that cohort.

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Wallet data comes from public on-chain activity on Polygon. Past results of any wallet do not guarantee future ones. Nothing on this page is financial advice.