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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket Whale Tracker: Cohort Consensus, Position Weight and the Gap

As of Oct 24, 2026, 22 of 43 tracked Polymarket wallets tracked by Cohven held a side in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?, with $3,596,024 of notional across 2 outcomes and 7,704 fills over 217 trading days. Cohven rebuilds every position from public on-chain activity on Polygon. The event resolved on undefined NaN, NaN, and the cohort booked +$NaN in verified P&L.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

Wallets in event
22 / 43
Notional committed
$3,596,024
Realised P&L
+$NaN
Outcomes traded
2

Where the cohort filled, day by day

Every dot marks one day of cohort trading on that outcome. Cohven prices the dot at the volume weighted average of the fills for the day and sizes it by share volume. The dots come from real trades on the Polymarket order book. The dotted line only joins them, so treat the space between two dots as unknown. The square marks the resolution and the payout.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Dec, 2025Jan, 2026Feb, 2026Mar, 2026Apr, 2026May, 2026Jun, 2026Jul, 2026Aug, 2026Sep, 2026Oct, 2026Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2025-11-10 88¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2025-11-11 92¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2025-11-19 88¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-02 78¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-04 68¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-07 70¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-08 66¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-09 63¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-10 71¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-13 53¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-14 58¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-15 57¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-16 53¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-17 46¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-18 44¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-19 43¢ 14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-20 42¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-21 44¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-22 42¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-23 48¢ 22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-24 48¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-26 39¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-27 38¢ 40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-28 40¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-29 37¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-30 35¢ 23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-03-31 42¢ 18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-01 54¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-02 49¢ 29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-03 46¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-04 44¢ 29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-05 40¢ 50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-06 42¢ 38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-07 47¢ 101Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-08 73¢ 54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-09 70¢ 129Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-10 71¢ 337Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-11 71¢ 16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-12 64¢ 43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-13 66¢ 26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-14 68¢ 47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-15 69¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-16 68¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-17 76¢ 48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-18 68¢ 123Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-19 68¢ 119Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-20 66¢ 158Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-21 66¢ 211Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-22 71¢ 54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-23 68¢ 62Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-24 69¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-25 66¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-27 66¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-28 66¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-29 67¢ 25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-04-30 66¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-01 69¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-02 70¢ 21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-03 70¢ 139Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-04 70¢ 219Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-05 71¢ 159Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-06 79¢ 28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-07 78¢ 78Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-08 78¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-10 77¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-11 73¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-12 71¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-13 71¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-15 72¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-16 69¢ 110Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-17 70¢ 26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-18 71¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-19 70¢ 44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-20 72¢ 43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-21 73¢ 30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-22 73¢ 26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-23 83¢ 44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-24 82¢ 100Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-25 81¢ 23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-26 81¢ 45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-27 81¢ 32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-28 80¢ 21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-29 83¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-30 82¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-05-31 87¢ 34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-01 83¢ 26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-02 83¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-03 83¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-04 83¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-05 84¢ 25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-06 85¢ 30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-07 84¢ 32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-08 82¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-09 81¢ 30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-10 80¢ 24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-11 80¢ 85Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-12 81¢ 90Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-13 83¢ 45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-14 86¢ 20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-15 88¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-16 88¢ 38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-17 87¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-18 88¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-19 85¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-21 87¢ 48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-22 87¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-23 87¢ 23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-26 88¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-27 85¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-28 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-29 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-06-30 87¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-01 85¢ 14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-03 87¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-05 88¢ 42Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-06 88¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-07 87¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-08 85¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-09 84¢ 165Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-10 83¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-11 84¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-12 82¢ 35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-13 81¢ 16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-14 81¢ 41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-15 80¢ 47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-16 77¢ 60Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-17 74¢ 27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-18 72¢ 23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-19 69¢ 22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-20 73¢ 57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-21 74¢ 27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-22 71¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-23 70¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-24 71¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-25 71¢ 33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-26 79¢ 23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-27 78¢ 43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-28 77¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-29 75¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-30 73¢ 56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-07-31 76¢ 66Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-01 74¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-02 78¢ 88Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-03 78¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-04 81¢ 98Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-05 85¢ 141Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-06 83¢ 57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-07 82¢ 23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-08 84¢ 63Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-09 84¢ 28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-10 84¢ 24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-11 82¢ 105Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-12 81¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-13 82¢ 77Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-14 83¢ 78Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-16 83¢ 18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-17 83¢ 72Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-18 83¢ 36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-19 83¢ 14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-20 83¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-23 83¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-24 83¢ 146Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-25 84¢ 135Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-26 85¢ 49Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-27 87¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-28 86¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-30 85¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-08-31 84¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-01 83¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-02 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-03 85¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-04 86¢ 49Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-05 86¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-07 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-08 85¢ 35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-10 84¢ 17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-11 85¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-12 83¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-13 83¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-14 83¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-15 83¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-16 82¢ 34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-17 83¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-18 82¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-19 85¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-20 83¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-21 84¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-22 85¢ 33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-23 86¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-24 87¢ 48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-25 85¢ 74Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-26 84¢ 129Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-28 85¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-29 86¢ 44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-09-30 86¢ 51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-01 85¢ 41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-02 85¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-03 83¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-04 84¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-05 85¢ 93Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-06 84¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-07 84¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-08 84¢ 10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-10 84¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-11 84¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-12 82¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-13 83¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-15 83¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-17 84¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-18 85¢ 40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-19 84¢ 29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-20 85¢ 40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-21 84¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-22 85¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-23 82¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2026-10-24 82¢ 9AGAINSTWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-21 57¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-22 55¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-28 57¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-03-29 56¢ 4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-05 65¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-07 22¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-12 36¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-13 34¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-14 33¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-15 29¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-16 31¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-17 30¢ 16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-20 30¢ 3Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-21 31¢ 29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-04-29 32¢ 20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-01 32¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-03 30¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-06 19¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-17 28¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-18 30¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-21 26¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-05-23 26¢ 12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-11 18¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-14 10¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-15 11¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-17 13¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-21 14¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-25 13¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-06-29 14¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-09 17¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-10 17¢ 9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-11 15¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-20 26¢ 104Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-21 27¢ 7Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-22 29¢ 11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-23 29¢ 105Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-24 29¢ 57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-25 27¢ 19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-26 22¢ 15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-27 21¢ 56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-28 22¢ 13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-29 24¢ 8Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-07-30 26¢ 1Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-08-01 25¢ 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-08-02 20¢ 6Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-08-07 17¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-09-03 14¢ 2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2026-09-05 14¢ 2AGAINST
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes

Every outcome the cohort held

Cohven reads shares, average entry price and realised P&L straight from the chain for each tracked wallet, then adds them up across the cohort. Holders counts the wallets standing on that side.

MarketSideHoldersAverage entryNotional
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No21 / 4377¢$3,512,164
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes5 / 4328¢$83,860

Wallets in this event

Every tracked wallet that held a side here, its average entry and realised result. Each row opens the wallet profile and its trades in this event.

WalletEntryNotionalRealised
0xAD96914D7762DAC84EbBABAfE366AE8ff24Dd490xad96…d49879¢$728,535+$NaNTrades in this event
Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa876¢$723,118+$NaNTrades in this event
0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a0xe639…082a76¢$478,053+$NaNTrades in this event
Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e859¢$351,569+$17,577Trades in this event
Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc81¢$307,323+$NaNTrades in this event
mr.ozi0x614d…154668¢$269,898+$NaNTrades in this event
paddaa0x60a9…5a7161¢$144,053+$11,480Trades in this event
tourists0xc6dd…4b9f80¢$131,420+$NaNTrades in this event
pup10x54b5…4b3172¢$127,832+$NaNTrades in this event
tsybka0xd5cc…dea481¢$74,959+$NaNTrades in this event
aff30xe52c…692479¢$68,088+$NaNTrades in this event
thoodr0x3eae…e2ed82¢$63,830+$NaNTrades in this event
Jest550xd34b…000477¢$40,624+$NaNTrades in this event
Ryxon210x3dca…3c1376¢$19,005+$NaNTrades in this event
dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc875¢$18,091+$NaNTrades in this event
pantomime0xd039…253255¢$13,140−$590Trades in this event
ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c65¢$11,686−$7,377Trades in this event
seal70x2b9d…adc083¢$11,608+$NaNTrades in this event
scottilicious0x000d…758e30¢$6,000+$NaNTrades in this event
tja0xe1b3…142675¢$3,747+$NaNTrades in this event
The-Joker0x9aeb…272984¢$3,360+$120Trades in this event

What Cohven does

Cohven works as a Polymarket whale tracker. It watches a cohort of consistently tracked addresses, reads their public activity on Polygon, and rebuilds equity, entry price, position weight and verified P&L for every wallet. You see the positions, you place your own orders. Cohven never touches your funds and never holds a key, so nothing here behaves like a copy trading bot.

Why a cohort beats one whale

A single tracked wallet can win on luck. Any Polymarket whale tracker that mirrors one address hands you that wallet's variance along with its edge. Cohven waits for agreement instead. When several tracked wallets stand on the same YES or NO outcome, that agreement reaches quorum and the position counts as a consensus trade. Smart money on Polymarket looks obvious in hindsight. Quorum is how you spot it while the market still trades.

Position weight, not raw dollars

A $20,000 position means one thing inside a $700,000 wallet and something else inside a $50,000 wallet. Cohven measures every position as a share of its owner's equity, and that share is the position weight. That number lets Cohven resize any cohort trade to your account, in shares and in dollars, whatever your bankroll.

The Gap

The Gap lists the difference between your portfolio and the cohort, row by row. It shows which consensus positions you already hold, which you hold too small, and which you miss completely. Cohven prices each row against the live order book, so the number you read matches the number you would pay.

How Cohven verifies the numbers

Every figure on this page comes from public Polymarket activity. Cohven reads trades, splits, merges, redemptions and rewards for each tracked address on Polygon, then rebuilds the position from scratch instead of trusting a reported total. The UMA oracle resolves the market and the payout settles in USDC. You can check any row against the chain yourself.

Questions traders ask

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Can you see other people's positions on Polymarket?

Yes. Polymarket settles on Polygon and every trade lands on a public ledger, so anyone can read the positions of any address. Cohven does that reading at scale for a curated cohort and turns it into entry price, implied probability, position weight and verified P&L.

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Does copy trading on Polymarket work?

Copying one wallet inherits the variance of that wallet. A single whale can run a losing streak for months while the long run ROI still looks strong. Cohven answers a narrower question. It shows where several tracked wallets agree, and agreement carries a better base rate than any single address.

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Is it legal to track Polymarket wallets?

Reading a public blockchain breaks no rule. Cohven publishes no private data, asks for no Polymarket credentials and requests no permission over your account.

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How does Cohven differ from a Polymarket copy trading bot?

A copy bot needs your keys and fires orders on your behalf. Cohven stays read-only. It shows the cohort, the quorum and the Gap, then you decide what to place and at what size.

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Does Cohven touch my funds?

No. Cohven is non-custodial. It holds no keys, no balance and no order permissions, and it never routes a trade for you.

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What counts as a Polymarket whale?

Traders use the word for any address carrying a large notional. Cohven cares less about size and more about a verified record, so the leaderboard ranks the cohort by on-chain P&L and hit rate rather than by balance alone.

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How do I find Polymarket wallets with a public, verifiable record?

You can read the Polymarket leaderboard and check each address on-chain by hand. Cohven skips that work. It maintains the cohort, refreshes P&L daily and ranks the best Polymarket traders by verified result.

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How much does Cohven cost?

Every new account starts with seven days of the full cohort free, no card. After that you have 60 hours to pick a plan from $29 a month, paid in USDC.

Other events the cohort traded

Each page rebuilds the same view from public Polymarket activity.

US strikes Iran by...?
24 of 43 wallets. $4,877,208
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
22 of 43 wallets. $10,428,459
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
22 of 43 wallets. $9,025,333
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
20 of 43 wallets. $1,784,055
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
19 of 43 wallets. $1,458,292
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
17 of 43 wallets. $2,900,917

See the cohort live

The cohort trades every day. Open the tracker to watch consensus form, read the Gap against your own portfolio and size each position to your account.

Show me the cohort

Explore Cohven

HomeEvery cohort eventGlossary

Cohven has no affiliation with Polymarket. Positions come from public on-chain activity of the tracked addresses. Nothing on this page is financial advice.